Pedro Nascimento de Lima, PhD

Researcher at RAND Corporation and Professor at RAND School of Public Policy

Could periodic nonpharmaceutical intervention strategies produce better COVID-19 health and economic outcomes?

Raffaele Vardavas; Pedro Nascimento de Lima; Lawrence Baker

Abstract

The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic required significant public health interventions from local governments. Early in the pandemic, RAND researchers developed a decision support tool to provide policymakers with insight into the trade-offs they might face when choosing among nonpharmaceutical intervention levels. Using an updated version of the model, the researchers performed a stress-test of a variety of alternative reopening plans, using California as an example. This Perspective presents the general lessons learned from these experiments and discusses four characteristics of the best reopening strategies.

Topics

COVID-19 pandemic response nonpharmaceutical interventions public health policy decision support health economics pandemic planning policy analysis simulation modeling

Citation

@article{Vardavas2021a,
author = {Vardavas, Raffaele and {Nascimento de Lima}, Pedro and Baker, Lawrence},
doi = {10.18278/jpcs.7.1.8},

journal = {Journal on Policy and Complex Systems},
keywords = {covid-19,de intervenci{\'{o}}n,economic outcomes,health outcomes,no farmac{\'{e}}utica producir mejores,nonpharmeceutical interventions,podr{\'{i}}an las estrategias peri{\'{o}}dicas,resultados},
number = {1},
title = {{Could periodic nonpharmaceutical intervention strategies produce better COVID-19 health and economic outcomes?}},
volume = {7},
year = {2021}
}