Pedro Nascimento de Lima, PhD

Pesquisador na RAND Corporation e Professor na RAND School of Public Policy

Pedro Nascimento de Lima

Sou pesquisador na RAND, uma instituição de pesquisa apartidária dedicada ao aprimoramento de políticas públicas por meio de pesquisa e análise.

Dedico a maior parte do meu tempo a pesquisas com potencial de salvar vidas ou aumentar nossa segurança — seja na prevenção do câncer, na mitigação das piores consequências de pandemias ou na prevenção de danos causados pela inteligência artificial.

Pode entrar em contato pelo endereço plima arroba rand ponto org.

Linhas de Pesquisa

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Cancer Early Detection & Prevention

Using microsimulation models and cost-effectiveness analysis to improve cancer screening programs, reduce disparities, and inform clinical guidelines.

The triple-effect of colorectal cancer screening: reducing deaths, government spending and mortality disparities
JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute • 2025
Effectiveness and Cost-Effectiveness of Colorectal Cancer Screening With a Blood Test That Meets the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Coverage Decision
Gastroenterology • 2024
18 publicações

Pandemic Preparedness & Response

Developing decision support tools and surveillance systems to help policymakers respond effectively to infectious disease threats under deep uncertainty.

The Health and Economic Impacts of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions to Address COVID-19: A Decision Support Tool for State and Local Policymakers
RAND Tool • 2020
Strategies to Improve Detection of Novel Pandemic Pathogens: Cost Versus Detection Performance for Promising Pathogen-Agnostic Detection Workflows
RAND Research Report • 2025
16 publicações

Equity & Society

Examining how social determinants and structural factors shape health outcomes and economic opportunities to identify policies that promote equity.

COMPASS: A Framework for Navigating Systemic Risks
RAND Working Paper • 2025
The triple-effect of colorectal cancer screening: reducing deaths, government spending and mortality disparities
JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute • 2025
12 publicações

Modeling & Simulation

Developing computational models including microsimulation, agent-based, and epidemic models to understand complex systems and evaluate policy interventions.

The triple-effect of colorectal cancer screening: reducing deaths, government spending and mortality disparities
JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute • 2025
Effectiveness and Cost-Effectiveness of Colorectal Cancer Screening With a Blood Test That Meets the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Coverage Decision
Gastroenterology • 2024
35 publicações

Robust Decision Making

Applying frameworks for decision-making under deep uncertainty to identify strategies that perform well across a wide range of plausible futures.

Stress-testing US colorectal cancer screening guidelines: Decennial colonoscopy from age 45 is robust to natural history uncertainty and colonoscopy sensitivity assumptions
Medical Decision Making • 2025
Incorporating social determinants of health into agent-based models of HIV transmission: methodological challenges and future directions
Frontiers in Epidemiology • 2025
7 publicações

Causal Inference

Evaluating causal inference methods for estimating policy effects from observational data.

Potential spillover effects on diagnostic delay for cancer during the NHS-Galleri trial: a quasi-experimental difference-in-differences study
medRxiv • 2025
Assessing Bias and Precision in State Policy Evaluations: A Comparative Analysis of Time-Varying Estimators Using Policy Simulations
arXiv • 2025
4 publicações

Tools & Packages

Creating open-source software tools and R packages to support reproducible research and enable researchers to apply advanced methods.

The Health and Economic Impacts of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions to Address COVID-19: A Decision Support Tool for State and Local Policymakers
RAND Tool • 2020
The Future of Artificial Intelligence Policy Is the Future of Competing Demands
RAND Visualization • 2025
8 publicações